Probability, Uncertainity and the tumbling die

Probability: It is very unfortunate, perhaps, that this theory didn't get its fair share of glamour and awe as did the theory of relativity. coz everything depends on probability and even if it doesnt it can at least be explained by it.

Right from most basic interactions in a living cell, eg protein-RNA or DNA all phenomena are governed by probablility over and above other guiding principles.

What are coincidences in life? Just an event with a small probablity, that has occurred..I think it is a very powerful idea..it is a nice way of defining the undefinable..of stating the unknown, incomprehensible in a maths form: an equation. A sort of psychological security?

Then, are accidents, serendipities, coincidences, surprises just a naive person's perceptions of this divine(?!) law? i should think so. coz if there really was a discerning God, would taking Ketan and Neeru's lives...and risking Anushree's make sense in his larger 'Plan of things' or was just His mistake ...or least accusatory of all...just a random chance?

Just a small mistake can be fatal in one situation and a grave one be excused in another....are effects also a conditional probability ...conditioned by time and space?
Then that means there isn't any destiny? This is better..'coz i m not comfortable with living a life, one over which i know I have no control.......but on the other hand the first qn that flashed in my mind wen i heard of the ghastly incident was: Did he deserve this? Of course not, Rashmi, but probability is heartless, mindless, unjust!

heard of Bayesian probability? or posterior probability? given the final outcome, predicting the possible prior probabilities of that happening. ...What i am doing now is that...sadly this is utterly useless in real life...will it get them back...will it steer the rolling car or the tumbling die ...back on to the road, the gameboard?....NO, we lost, completely...absolutely . Game over!